We're moving into another era, as the toxic effects of the bubble and its grave consequences spread through the financial system. Just a couple of years ago investors dreamed of 20 percent returns forever. Now surveys show that they're down to a "realistic" 8 percent to 10 percent range.
But what if the next few years turn out to be below normal expectations? Martin Barners of the Bank Credit Analyst in Montreal expects future stock returns to average just 4 percent to 6 percent. Sound impossible? After a much smaller bubble that burst in the mid-1960s Standard & Poor's 5000 stock average returned 6.9 percent a year (with dividends reinvested) for the following 17 years. Few investors are prepared for that.
Right now denial seems to be the attitude of choice. That's typical, says Lori Lucas of Hewitt, the consulting firm. You hate to look at your investments when they're going down. Hewitt tracks 500,000401 (k) accounts every day, and finds that savers are keeping their contributions up. But they're much less inclined to switch their money around. "It's the slot-machine effect", Lucas says. "People get more interested in playing when they think they've got a hot machine"--and nothing's hot today. The average investor feels overwhelmed.
Against all common sense, many savers still shut their eyes to the dangers of owning too much company stock. In big companies last year, a surprising 29 percent of employees held at least three quarters of their 402 (k) in their own stock.
Younger employees may have no choice. You often have to wait until you're 50 or 55,before you can sell any company stock you get as a matching contribution.
But instead of getting out when they can, old participants have been holding, too. One third of the people 60 and up chose company stock for three quarters of their plan, Hewitt reports. Are they inattentive? Loyal to a fault? Sick? It's as if Lucent, Enron and Xerox never happened.
No investor should give his or her total trust to any particular company's stock. And while you're at it, think how you'd be if future stock returns--averaging good years'and bad--are as poor as Barnes predicts.
If you ask me, diversified stocks remain good for the long run, with a backup in bonds. But I, too, am figuring on reduced returns. What a shame. Dear bubble, I'll never forget. It's the end of a grand affair.
It can be inferred from the text that Lucent, Enron and Xerox are names of ( ).
根据文义可推出,这是三家作为反面例子的公司,由于它们的先后破产,使持有这些公司股票的人遭到很大的损失。故选择B项最为合适。
根据《中华人民共和国中国人民银行法》的规定,我国货币政策的最终目标是( ),并以此促进经济增长。
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将自然数1~100分别写在完全相同的100张卡片上,然后打乱卡片,先后随机取出4张,问这4张先后取出的卡片上的数字呈增序的几率是多少?()
对于债券利率的风险结构,描述正确的有( )。
市场经济体制下,财政具有的职能有( )。
( )决定着生产关系。
货币制度最基本的内容是规定( )。
如果一国货币汇率上升,即对外升值,就可能会导致( )。
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